Broker’s Analysis

ACE
Somebody padded the sell side with 2 – 50k shares, then somebody bought it up.
# BUYERS VOLUME VALUE AVERAGE %WEIGHT
1 TRANASIA 151,500 1,542,336 10.1804 49.20%
2 COL 56,600 566,770 10.0136 18.38%
3 PCCI 20,200 197,419 9.7732 6.56%
4 SB-EQTY 17,000 174,760 10.2800 5.52%
5 BERNAD 13,000 130,320 10.0246 4.22%
6 MTPEAK 11,000 110,150 10.0136 3.57%
7 SINCERE 10,000 99,000 9.9000 3.25%
8 F_ORIENT 10,000 100,000 10.0000 3.25%
9 BPI 4,500 44,170 9.8156 1.46%
10 ABACUS 3,000 30,160 10.0533 0.97%

# SELLERS VOLUME VALUE AVERAGE %WEIGHT
1 WESTLINK 105,000 1,067,000 10.1619 34.10%
2 VENTURE 46,000 468,500 10.1848 14.94%
3 SB-EQTY 40,000 402,240 10.0560 12.99%
4 COL 31,600 308,482 9.7621 10.26%
5 BARCELON 15,000 150,060 10.0040 4.87%
6 DAMARKET 10,000 101,500 10.1500 3.25%
7 NIEVES 10,000 99,350 9.9350 3.25%
8 GD_TAN 10,000 102,800 10.2800 3.25%
9 ASIA_PAC 6,000 59,880 9.9800 1.95%
10 F_ORIENT 5,000 51,400 10.2800 1.62%
—————————————

PHES:
Somebody bought up the big sell volume and most thought identified insider buyer is supporting the stock. check whos selling.
# BUYERS VOLUME VALUE AVERAGE %WEIGHT
1 LUCKY 10,650,000 8,258,000 0.7754 24.53%
2 SB-EQTY 5,100,000 4,018,000 0.7878 11.75%
3 WESTLINK 4,650,000 3,641,600 0.7831 10.71%
4 ANSALDO 3,500,000 2,730,000 0.7800 8.06%
5 HDI 3,389,000 2,609,530 0.7700 7.81%
6 G_LINK 1,600,000 1,232,000 0.7700 3.69%
7 COL 1,471,000 1,145,370 0.7786 3.39%
8 TOWER 1,350,000 1,045,500 0.7744 3.11%
9 SINCERE 1,200,000 924,000 0.7700 2.76%
10 ABCAPSEC 1,140,000 879,200 0.7712 2.63%

# SELLERS VOLUME VALUE AVERAGE %WEIGHT
1 TRANASIA 11,400,000 8,871,000 0.7782 26.26%
2 LUY’S 4,500,000 3,495,000 0.7767 10.37%
3 COL 4,358,000 3,395,790 0.7792 10.04%
4 ANSALDO 2,525,000 1,969,250 0.7799 5.82%
5 OPTIMUM 2,200,000 1,696,000 0.7709 5.07%
6 FIDELITY 2,000,000 1,540,000 0.7700 4.61%
7 HDI 1,400,000 1,097,000 0.7836 3.23%
8 ABACUS 1,200,000 938,200 0.7818 2.76%
9 SB-EQTY 1,200,000 924,000 0.7700 2.76%
10 MTPEAK 1,000,000 780,000 0.7800 2.30%

So? I dont know. probably it means, theyre smarter than us. *gigols*
You know the drill guys.

ACE @ 10.28, rsi daily is 72.65; weekly is 72.99

Reference Charts

US Stock: NFLX – Netflix, Inc

GERI Weekly

PX Charts

LC & MAB Weekly

PWR Daily & Weekly

Philippine National Bank (PSE: PNB)

as of this writing, pnb is still dominated by foreign selling.
# SELLERS VOLUME VALUE AVERAGE %WEIGHT
1 CLSA 98,000 4,512,550 46.0464 36.77%
2 DEUTSCHE 49,700 2,287,420 46.0245 18.65%

Broker’s Analysis – Pepsi Philippines (PSE:PIP)

Based on Franklin Templeton Fund websites, they disclosed that as of Dec 31, 2009, they have around 146 million shares of Pepsi – Cola Products Philippines (PSE:PIP). This is a galaxy – like increased of 2800% from their March 31, 2009 holdings of only 5M shares. From the said 146 million shares, I’ve  seen 4 funds of Templeton that have holdings of these shares. I don’t know if there are more funds that have Pepsi within the Templeton Fund.

Below are broker’s activity (3 months) of Pepsi. Noted big buyings and cross sales from ATR, and cross sales from UBS (underwriter of Pepsi’s IPO). It is my thinking, base on broker’s analysis that ATR is the one who buys shares for Templeton. As for my house, our activity is almost the same volume on buying and selling.  My 2 cents only. Caveat.

As of 11:35 am Feb 10, 2010 trading time. ATR bought 225k shares, while UBS is a seller with 303k shares.

Lepanto Mining (PSE: LC)

Broker’s Analysis: MVP identified brokers were buying, leading the pack was Macquarie (pls see related broker’s analysis on MER). Seller was Fyap securities, identified broker of Lepanto owner. Neutral.

Broker’s Analysis of Paxys (PSE:PAX)

No loyalty whatsoever. Both the top buyers and sellers were identical, suggesting this stock attracts more players and just little or no participation of institutional or long term investors at all. Caveat.

Top buyer/seller today June 3, 2009

On Broker’s Analysis (PSE: MEG)

My days of analyzing broker’s activities are numbered. There’s PSE resolution that broker’s identity will be withheld. I always believe, The Philippine Stock market is one of the hardest playing filed in equity investment. I always concur to the saying that “If you beat the Philippine Markets, you can beat any markets in the world”.

Below is Meg’s broker’s activity. This is just my personal “feel” why the MER selling is an automatic response.

On Brokers Analysis – Meralco & Megaworld (PSE: MER & PSE: MEG)

basing on the screen shot if i were the client of Summit Sec, i would have done the same. What’s on my mind?
Let’s share our “feelings”.
If i were a client of Summit Sec. i sold my Meralco shares because;
Any thoughts?

—–
Shar I’mstudying your VLL, as soon as i finish “talking” to the chart, i will post it asap. Thanks for your patience.

Recap of Monitored PSEi Stocks (Pepsi Phils, Metro Water Corp, JG Summit, Philex Mining, International Container Terminal Services Inc, Energy Development Corp) Part 2

3. Philex Mining (PSE: PX) – Stock broke 6.30 earlier. Heavy buying by CLSA. This is definitely program buying. Please see related post of CLSA’s program buy of MEG.

Related Post
https://spyfrat.wordpress.com/?s=monitored+stocks&searchbutton=Go!

Philex Mining (PSE: PX) – First coverage last January 27, 2009. Kings Securities still accumulating this stock. No fear. Since Jan. 28, 2009 till today, Kings added 2.4M shares at an average price of 4.5050/share to their cofers. ABN-AMRO, a foreign broker, joined in with 2.3M shares at 2.5027 average price. PX is one controlled stock. One of these days, it will make new highs.

archieves at https://spyfrat.wordpress.com/category/phisixs-closet-psei/

Recap of Monitored PSEi Stocks (Pepsi Phils, Metro Water Corp, JG Summit, Philex Mining, International Container Terminal Services Inc, Energy Development Corp)

Recent Update of Monitored PSEi Stocks:
1) PEPSI Phils (PSE:PIP) – this by far my favorite stock. Our house have been accumulating Pepsi way back last December l2008 when massive foreign selling send this stock into abyss. It was mostly local buying (bulk of which was done by Summit Securities) versus wave of foreign selling. It was then, until now… wave of foreign selling is still present despite Pepsi’s improving sentiment and momentum. Despite gaining nearing a 100% gain from its historical lows, this stock have been constantly massively sold down by foreign brokers. Today’s close was a new ball game. CLSA’s heavy bombardment since last week was resisted today by our house, Summit Securities coupled with big local brokerages and 1 foreign house (ATR Securities). Below is the broker’s historical trade for the last 3 months. Chart wise, 1.70 is attainable for the short term, with 1 year target of 2.70/share.

2) JG Summit (PSE: JGS) – First coverage was done last Dec 18, 2008 when stock hit the parabolic target burst of 1.80 pesos/share. The broker i watched closely then was ATR Securities. JGS stock price closed today at 4 pesos/share. The stock have already achieved its target. I like this stock but i will no longer cover its broker activities. I may do so for personal perusal as I trade actively. Investors of JGS may still request for its broker and technical analysis. Just email me.

3) will add more later….

Link Source of Post Below: https://spyfrat.wordpress.com/?s=monitored+stocks&searchbutton=Go!
Posted last February 5, 2009
Broker’s Analysis of Monitored PSEi Stocks (Pepsi Phils, Metro Water Corp, JG Summit, Philex Mining, International Container Terminal Services Inc)

Pepsi Philippines (PSE: PIP) ; First Coverage – Dec. 10, 2008

Its a tug of war between my house Summit, ATR, Bernad Securities versus Kings Power and Macquarie. Last year, I targetted 1.16 as PIP’s price target, coming from the 0.60’s price level. It was heavily dump by UBS Securities then. I started posting it here when it was at 0.79/0.80. Said target still remain a target. It only made a high of 1.04/1.06 then corrected to 0.84/0.85 last January 2009. Pepsi remains as my favored stock.

pepsi020509

Metro Water Corp (PSE: MWC )- First coverage today. this stock was heavily sold downy CLSA this year. Since monday they are buying back. Prior to trading earlier they are 4M shares net buy since monday but still 23M shares net sell since November 2008. Heavy crosses by CLSA were observed when MWC broke down the 10-peso/share price.

JG Summit (PSE: JGS) – First coverage done last December 18, 2008 when JGS completed its Parabolic Curve burst target at 1.80/share. Since then broker ATR Securities has been buying the stock. CLSA bought the stock yesterday. ATR is only 75k shares net buy with a big help from the locals as they drove JGS’ price to 2.85/share today.

Philex Mining (PSE: PX) – First coverage last January 27, 2009. Kings Securities still accumulating this stock. No fear. Since Jan. 28, 2009 till today, Kings added 2.4M shares at an average price of 4.5050/share to their cofers. ABN-AMRO, a foreign broker, joined in with 2.3M shares at 2.5027 average price. PX is one controlled stock. One of these days, it will make new highs.

International Container Terminal Services Inc. (PSE: ICT) – After being sold down till 10.50, the stock attracted buyers when their was a total of 5M shares crossed made by AB Capital @ 10.75 pesos/share from Feb 2, 3 and 4, 2009. As per disclosure by the company, it was a share buyback. A cross sale is made when bought the buyer and the seller is of the same house. transfer of ownership then took place. Today ICTSI closed at 11.75 pesos/share.

Posted last January 7, 2009
PSEi monitored stocks update 1/07/09

JG Summit (PSE: JGS) – broke out from psycho resistance at 2-peso/share to close at peso:2.10/share (a 13% gain from yesterday’s close). chart indicates the key levet at 4+ is possible but still is a drolling target.

Energy Development Corp (PSE: EDC) – it made a historical low of 1.82 pesos per share. previous “chart-polation” computation peg a 1.78 pesos/share or near that level as the stock’s low. I can now see UBS Philippines smiling now as this was there pick before. EDC came under pressure and went into freefall (due to forex losses concern) when Yen was unstoppable on the last quarter of 2008. It butchered the US dollar last Dec 17 and made historical high at near 87. As USD strengthen against yen, it’s stock price rebounding. So far Yen is the biggest catalyst for EDC’s price action for now. EDC closed at 2.44 pesos per share today.

PEPSI Philippines (PSE: PIP) – no window dressing happened on the last trading day (dec 24) last yr. Fortunately, the “January effect”, well, took effect. PIP closed 0.93-peso/share today, up 6 cents from its 2008-end close of 0.87-peso/share.

archives at https://spyfrat.wordpress.com/category/phisixs-closet-psei/